The Lakers visit the Warriors tonight — an all-California rivalry — at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. Kalshi is fully open and legal in California, and the state isn’t on the promo exclusion list, so local fans can sign up, trade this game, and qualify for the $10 bonus with a Kalshi promo code. Of tonight’s games, this one is at $309K+ in volume, with odds on winner, spread, totals, player props, and what will the announcers say markets.
New users can sign up with the Kalshi promo code DEFI and get $10 after you have placed your first $10 in trades on tonight’s Lakers vs Warriors game.
Prediction Market
Available in all 50 states
$10
bonus
Trade $10, Get $10 Free
CODE: DEFI
Claim Now
Best offer for traders right now
OG.com
$100
bonus
$100 Profit Boost (up to $20/day)
Claim Now!
Good bonus, liquidity is lower than Kalshi
Getting your $10 bonus takes a few minutes:
- Sign up: Visit Kalshi and click “Sign Up.” You can register with Google, Apple, or email. Enter tonight’s Kalshi promo code DEFI during registration.
- Verify your identity: Provide your date of birth, phone number, and location. Kalshi may request your SSN and a photo ID (driver’s license or passport) with a selfie. This is standard KYC verification across all regulated exchanges.
- Deposit funds: Once in your Kalshi wallet, click “Deposit Cash” and choose a payment method. Kalshi accepts debit cards, bank transfers, crypto, PayPal, Venmo, Google Pay, and Apple Pay. Minimum deposit to activate the bonus is $1.
- Trade $10 in contracts: Find the Lakers vs Warriors game, drill down to the props, winner, or announcers say markets, and select your trades. Trade at least $10 and receive the $10 bonus.
This active promo code is available to all new accounts. Kalshi is open to sports in all 50 states, though the promo is not available in Arizona, Illinois, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, New Jersey, and Ohio. California is fully eligible — sign up and trade the Lakers vs Warriors game to activate your bonus. Terms apply. Must be 18+.
Lakers vs Warriors on Kalshi tonight
Kalshi carries winner, spread, and totals contracts for every NBA game, plus player props (points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers) and announcers say markets on select games. Contracts settle at $1 if correct, $0 if wrong. Resolution is based on the official result from the NBA. Tonight’s slate also includes Washington vs Toronto (7:00 PM ET) and Utah vs New Orleans (9:30 PM ET), both available to trade on Kalshi.
Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers — 8:30 PM ET
The game of the night and the deepest market on the board at $309K in volume. The Lakers (34-24) hold the 5-seed in the West and are three games ahead of Golden State (31-28) in the standings. Stephen Curry is out with a knee injury — his 10th straight missed game — which is reflected in the odds.
- Winner: Lakers Yes 63¢ (-170) / Warriors Yes 39¢ (+156)
- Spread: Lakers -3.5 at 53¢ (54%)
- Total: Over 231.5 at 48¢ / Under at 53¢
- Team totals: Lakers over 101.5 (99¢) / Warriors over 98.5 (No 50¢)
The Lakers are trying to snap a three-game losing streak after dropping a 113-110 game in Phoenix. Golden State beat Memphis 133-112 earlier this week and has been competitive without Curry, including wins over the Suns and Nuggets during his absence.
Kalshi player props: LAL at GSW
Dončić’s 4+ threes contract is the single most traded prop on today’s NBA slate at 3,409 contracts. Here are the top 10 props by volume across all four categories:
Points
| Player | Line | Last price | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James | 25+ pts | 24¢ | 1,973 |
| Al Horford | 20+ pts | 7¢ | 1,120 |
| Marcus Smart | 15+ pts | 10¢ | 1,084 |
| LeBron James | 20+ pts | 55¢ | 536 |
| Moses Moody | 20+ pts | 25¢ | 495 |
Dončić averages 32.7 points per game this season and dropped 41 in Phoenix two nights ago.
Three-pointers made
| Player | Line | Last price | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić | 4+ threes | 56¢ | 3,409 |
| LeBron James | 2+ threes | 43¢ | 367 |
| Luka Dončić | 5+ threes | 35¢ | 148 |
| Luka Dončić | 3+ threes | 77¢ | 91 |
Dončić averages 3.7 made threes per game on 35.7% shooting from deep.
Rebounds
| Player | Line | Last price | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James | 6+ reb | 53¢ | 1,942 |
| LeBron James | 10+ reb | 16¢ | 211 |
| Deandre Ayton | 12+ reb | 26¢ | 145 |
Assists
| Player | Line | Last price | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James | 10+ assists | 19¢ | 354 |
| Luka Dončić | 12+ assists | 19¢ | 237 |
| Austin Reaves | 6+ assists | 24¢ | 99 |
LeBron James averages 8.6 assists per game this season.
Kalshi announcers say market: LAL at GSW
Kalshi runs a unique prop where you can trade on what the announcers will during the game. The contracts only settle based on whether the broadcast crew says specific words or phrases during the telecast. The game airs on ABC with Mike Breen (play-by-play), Richard Jefferson and Tim Legler (analysts), and Malika Andrews (reporter). The top 10 by volume:
| Term | Last price | Contracts |
|---|---|---|
| Buzzer | 53¢ | 1,763 |
| Retire / Retired / Retirement | 19¢ | 1,755 |
| Alley-oop | 54¢ | 1,576 |
| Triple Double | 72¢ | 1,199 |
| Injury / Injured | 95¢ | 1,164 |
| Chase | 69¢ | 1,120 |
| Crowd / Crowded | 86¢ | 787 |
| MVP | 67¢ | 599 |
| Rookie | 88¢ | 250 |
| Overtime | 27¢ | 131 |
“Injury / Injured” is priced at 95¢ — near certainty given Curry’s absence is likely to come up during the broadcast. “Retire / Retired / Retirement” at 19¢ is one of the lower-priced terms, though LeBron’s age and career milestones are a recurring broadcast topic.
How to use your $10 Kalshi bonus tonight
Once you’ve signed up with promo code DEFI and deposited funds, head to the Sports section on Kalshi. Find the Lakers vs Warriors game under the basketball tab — it has odds on winner, spread, totals, player props, and announcers say markets.
Contracts start as low as 1¢, and the $10 bonus applies to trading volume across any market. Here’s what’s available for LAL vs GSW:
- Game winner — Lakers Yes 63¢ (-170) / Warriors Yes 39¢ (+156).
- Spread and total — LAL -3.5 is priced at 53¢; the over/under is set at 231.5.
- Player props — Points, rebounds, assists, and three-pointers. Prices range from 7¢ (Horford 20+ points) to 55¢ (LeBron 20+ points).
- Announcers say markets — 18 contracts, led by “Buzzer” (53¢, 1,763 contracts).
- Live trading — Kalshi offers in-game trading on NBA, allowing positions to be bought and sold as the game progresses.
Kalshi typically issues correct NBA payouts within minutes of the final buzzer.
New to prediction markets? Our Kalshi review breaks down the full platform, including how NBA markets work, fee structures, and deposit options. For a broader look at where to trade sports, see our sports prediction markets comparison.
Valid for the Lakers vs Golden State matchup; terms and conditions apply. Prediction market trading involves risk. Trade responsibly.
Cheryle Shepstone
Cheryle is Director of Content and Strategy at DeFi Rate. She oversees the prediction market research, platform reviews, and editorial methodology behind every guide—from primary source verification through final fact-check. Before DeFi Rate, she led content and growth strategy at Catena Media, where she helped shape content and revenue strategy for regulated and financial markets. She has 20 years of experience in research and marketing strategy
